Cyclone Biporjoy in Karachi, from where it came, when will it come in Pakistan again?

Cyclone Biporjoy intensified into an extremely severe cyclonic storm at 5 30 am on June 11, 2023, and continues to remain, so it is likely to make landfall in  Indian Gujarat according to the India Meteorological  Department till June 14th. it is very likely to move northward and then cross Saurashtra Kutch an adjoining course between Mondavi Jakob Port and Karachi around noon of June 15th, as a very severe cyclonic storm, is now the strongest cyclone in the Arabian Sea after tokte according to both IMD and Joint Typhoon Warning Center but bi part joy is unusual because most models could not predict that it would intensify into an extremely severe cyclonic storm. one of the contributors to this unpredictability is the amount of wind shear, that is the change of the wind with height the shear towards the northern Arabian Sea has been weak and favorable for cyclone intensification. similarly, the sea surface temperatures also have been favorable the sheer winds in the South increased as the monsoon strengthened, it is the progression of the monsoon and then the Cyclone that is deciding the Shear the second unfavorable condition is dry air in Pakistan, and West Asia which is a poison for tropical Cyclones. as the Cyclones move further they will suck dry air from different regions, Additionally, the upper air Divergence helped the Cyclone intensify but now it's weakening which would be among the factors to weaken the cyclone in the coming days. when Divergence occurs in the upper levels of the atmosphere it leads to Rising air IMD Focus indicate that Cyclone bi part Joy might have a landfall as a severe Cyclone but dissipate after landfall in about 6 hours to a deep depression in the satellite era since. 1982 Cyclone Viper Joy is now the fourth longest lift Cyclone during the pre-monsoon season in the Arabian Sea as per JTWC records.